Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) is an infectious disease caused by a newly discovered coronavirus.
Most people infected with the COVID-19 virus will experience mild to moderate respiratory illness and recover without requiring special treatment. Older people, and those with underlying medical problems like cardiovascular disease, diabetes, chronic respiratory disease, and cancer are more likely to develop serious illness.
The best way to prevent and slow down transmission is be well informed about the COVID-19 virus, the disease it causes and how it spreads. Protect yourself and others from infection by washing your hands or using an alcohol based rub frequently and not touching your face.
The COVID-19 virus spreads primarily through droplets of saliva or discharge from the nose when an infected person coughs or sneezes, so it’s important that you also practice respiratory etiquette (for example, by coughing into a flexed elbow).
At this time, there are no specific vaccines or treatments for COVID-19. However, there are many ongoing clinical trials evaluating potential treatments. WHO will continue to provide updated information as soon as clinical findings become available.
Most common symptoms: fever dry cough tiredness Less common symptoms: aches and pains sore throat diarrhoea conjunctivitis headache loss of taste or smell a rash on skin, or discolouration of fingers or toes Serious symptoms: difficulty breathing or shortness of breath chest pain or pressure loss of speech or movement Seek immediate medical attention if you have serious symptoms. Always call before visiting your doctor or health facility. People with mild symptoms who are otherwise healthy should manage their symptoms at home. On average it takes 5–6 days from when someone is infected with the virus for symptoms to show, however it can take up to 14 days.
In this project I have tried to data visualize it's effect on whole world , specially on our country till 28th june.
1). USA is the country with most covid-19 cases and most deaths in the world followed by Brazil.
2). Almost 99% of China covid-19 cases have been recovered.
3). Russia is the country with highest increasing Recovery Rate among top most affected countries followed by India.
4). Number of countries affected by Covid-19 is 223
5). Death Rate in UK is more than recovered rate.
As we can see Trajectory of Covid-19 in India is increasing almost linearly with alarming rate.
1). Maharashtra being number one in covid-19 cases and deaths among all states with 164626 with 7429 deaths till 28th june.
2). Gujrat is number one in Covid-19 death rate .
3). Tamil Nadu is number one in Covid-19 testing among all states with 1.11 million till 28th june.
4). Uttar Pradesh is number one in terms of health facalities beds among all states.
5). Maharashtra is number one in terms of most testing labs among all states.
6). In terms of covid-19 beds Tamil Nadu stands at top .
7.) It is seen that almost 66.38 % of Covid-19 patient in India are males.
8). Elderly Population is at higher risk for covid-19.
9). Meghalya has highest Recovery Rate in the country.
I have done prediction on Covid-19 India using two time Series Model :- ARIMA Model ,Fb Prophet Model .Data which I have used is of till 28th of June.
ARIMA model has predicted number of total cases by 31st July :- 9,89,096.
Fb Prophet Model has predicted number of total cases by 31st July :- 1.085 Million.
Minimum Cases by 31st July according to this trend :-9,77,848
Maximum Cases by 31st July according to this trend :-1.2 Million
According to our trend analysis on given data we can say that cases are likely to increase very much in month of july and August.
Weekly prediction analysis shows that generally thursday is the day at wich most cases occur in whole week.